Sunday, Feb 8th — Late
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Houston Texans 2026 Preview

WRITTEN BY: HILOW
Coaching/Philosophy/Scheme Changes ::
  • Offense: OC Nick Caley returns for his second season in Houston after improving from 22.0 points per game in 2024 to 23.7 points per game in 2025. That said, the team averaged similar total offensive output compared to the previous season with Bobby Slowik at the helm.
  • Defense: HC DeMeco Ryans and DC Matt Burke retained their positions.
Personnel Changes ::
  • Traded OL Juice Scruggs to the Lions in exchange for RB David Montgomery, acquired LB Marte Mapu from the Patriots for a pick swap, and traded OT Tytus Howard to the Browns for a fifth-round pick.
  • Signed DE Dominique Robinson, S Reed Blankenship, OT Braden Smith, LB Jake Hummel, DL Logan Hall, TE Foster Moreau, and OGs Evan Brown and Wyatt Teller.
  • Drafted C Keylan Rutledge in the first and DT Kayden McDonald and TE Marlin Klein in the second.
  • Released RB Joe Mixon, DL Mario Edwards, DT Kurt Hinish, and DB Jimmie Ward.
  • P Tommy Townsend and DE Derek Barnett departed via free agency.
Schedule ::
  • Divisional Games (6)::
    • Colts x2, Jaguars x2, Titans x2
  • AFC North (4)::
    • Ravens, Bengals, @Browns, @Steelers
  • NFC East (4)::
    • Cowboys, Giants, @Eagles, @Commanders
  • Bills, @Packers, @Chargers
Bull Case ::

There are numerous aspects of this team to be excited about as we head into 2026, particularly as they relate to offensive expectations. First off, the Texans retooled an offensive line that ranked amongst the league’s worst units a season ago, having generated the third lowest adjusted line yards before contact while allowing an elevated 37.5 percent pressure rate. Both left guard Wyatt Teller and right tackle Braden Smith are established veterans with multiple years of elite production in their playing history. The Texans then managed to trade up with the Bills into the first round of this year’s draft to select interior offensive lineman Keylan Rutledge, a player many considered one of the top interior lineman in the class.

Speedy wide receiver Tank Dell is expected to be fully ready for the start of the 2026 season following one of the more gruesome knee injuries we’ve seen in recent history. He tore his ACL, MCL, LCL, and meniscus in Week 16 of 2024. It was one of those injuries that is difficult to watch on the tube, one of those where players from both teams take a knee and pray through abated tears. The good news is that Dell’s production has been nothing short of eye-opening when on the field during his first two seasons in the league. Dell gives the Texans a proven YAC threat that is also capable of stressing an opposing defense in the vertical, which, when paired with the skills of Nico Collins and the emerging Jayden Higgins, makes this wide receiver unit one of the more imposing trios in the league. All three players can beat you in the vertical, do magic with the ball in their hands, and get open off the line. Veteran tight ends Dalton Schultz and Foster Moreau add the intermediate-middle presence to truly stress defenses to all areas of the field.

Finally, Caley has proven to be one of the more adaptable offensive minds in the league, capable of tailoring the scheme and function of his offense to best suit the skillsets of his players. What I find most interesting in that is what it means for newcomer David Montgomery, who has long shown more burst and better results when running behind man/gap concepts. Caley had previously leaned more zone in the designs of his offenses, that is, until last season, when he made a switch to incorporate heavier rates of doubles, down-blocking, and pulls. Those were always present in his offenses since his time with the Patriots, but they really took on greater emphasis in 2025. I am higher than consensus on Montgomery this season.

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