Game Overview ::
By hilow >>
- QB Jameis Winston is reportedly set to start for the Giants in Week 11. This is the only logical choice, to be blunt, following Jaxson Dart’s concussion.
- The Giants are down Malik Nabers, Cam Skattebo, and Dart while the Packers are down Tucker Kraft, Jayden Reed, and potentially Matthew Golden.
- Josh Jacobs has averaged 24 opportunities per game in the six games he was not slowed by a calf injury.
- The Giants have allowed the second-highest explosive run rate (8.7%) but Jacobs has managed a lowly 3.7% explosive-run rate and just 3.75 yards per carry, failing to amass more than 93 yards in every game this season.
- The Packers have lost three games this season, allowing 16 points or fewer in each of those games.
- The Packers have held six of their nine opponents to 18 points or fewer this season.
- WR Darius Slayton did not practice Wednesday after pulling up lame with a hamstring injury in the team’s Week 10 loss. He would return to the game.
JM’S JOURNAL ::
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How GREEN BAY Will Try To Win ::
Man, I have a legitimate bone to pick with Matt LaFleur. For those that are not familiar with what I’m alluding to, I have been highly critical of his play-calling tendencies for the better part of the previous two seasons, something that came to a head after the Philadelphia defensive line literally called the team’s play on a critical fourth down late in their loss to the Eagles. The structure of individual plays remains borderline elite, but this team is at legitimate risk of not even making the playoffs after holding the No. 1 seed just two weeks ago, and you have to point to the fact that the defense has allowed 16 points or fewer in all three losses, with two of those coming against the Browns and Panthers, as the causal factor in their recent collapse. Now, this isn’t to be all “doom and gloom,” simply to state that the team has a long way to go if they want to make a run at the Super Bowl in yet another quarterback’s age-27 season (remember, they won the Super Bowl when both Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers were 27). The offense needs to be more dynamic from down to down, less predictable in situational tendencies, and minimize mistakes in the red zone (Jordan Love had yet another turnover in the red zone against the Eagles). From a macro perspective, this is a run-balanced offense that has become more “extreme run tendencies on early downs” of late, something that, in my mind, needs to change if this team wants to make waves for the remainder of the season.
After three weeks with a subdued snap rate and workload, Jacobs returned to his previously robust role for the Packers against the Eagles. I don’t know if we can fully expect that to continue moving forward, but I think we do have some sort of signal there. Jacobs found himself on the injury report with a calf injury in each of the three games that he saw the reduced workload. He got in only his second full practice in the previous four weeks on the Friday before the team’s Week 10 game, indicating to me that his calf injury is becoming less of an issue. I would expect him to settle into the 75-80% snap rate range while dominating opportunities once more. Jacobs maintains one of the most robust red-zone roles in the league and trails only Jonathan “three-touchdown” Taylor in total scores this season (11). Outside of the three games in which he was limited by the calf, Jacobs averages 24 opportunities per game on an average of 75% of the team’s offensive snaps. Finally, the Giants have allowed the second-highest explosive run rate (8.7%), but Jacobs checks in with a modest 3.7% explosive-run rate and has managed only 3.75 yards per carry, failing to eclipse 100 yards in any game this season.
Crash the leaderboards
PFP the OWS pennant
The Green Bay pass game has a lot of moving pieces this week. They appear to have avoided disaster with Romeo Doubs getting in a full session Wednesday, while Golden returned to a limited practice. Both Dontayvion Wicks and Savion Williams were once again limited to start the week. The team is obiously without breakout tight end Tucker Kraft for the remainder of the season. If Doubs is indeed fully healthy, he should be expected to lead the team in snaps and route participation, with Christian Watson already taking on a near every-down role just three games into his 2025 season following a Week 18 torn ACL last year. Wicks continues to demonstrate a wide range of outcomes from down to down, often looking elite in both blocking and route running while also struggling with certain mental aspects of the game, including drops. All of that to say, I would expect the team to have Doubs and Watson as near every-down options, with Luke Musgrave ceding some work to John FitzPatrick. I would expect Bo Melton to be the odd man out, while Wicks and Golden share the remaining snaps available at wide receiver, assuming health. Love has attempted 31 or fewer passes in five of nine games, going over that mark in losses to the Eagles and Panthers, the team’s overtime tie against the Cowboys, and in the shootout with the Steelers. Expect muted aerial volume unless otherwise forced.
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