Kickoff Sunday, Dec 21st 1:00pm Eastern

Jets (
16.75) at

Saints (
23.25)

Over/Under 40.0

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Notes

Game Overview ::

By papy324 >>
  • The Jets had several players sitting out practice on Wednesday. S Tony Adams missed with a groin injury, LB Francisco Mauigoa missed with a neck injury, TE Mason Taylor missed with a neck injury, and DL Eric Watts missed with a concussion. 
  • The Saints had a handful of offensive starters sit out on Wednesday. RB Alvin Kamara missed with knee, RB Devin Neal missed with a hammy, G Cesar Ruiz missed with an ankle, WR Devaughn Vele missed with a shoulder, and OT Asim Richards missed with an ankle. 
  • The Saints have been playing better recently. They’ve won back-to-back games and are looking to finish the season on a high note. 
  • Audric Estime and Evan Hull look poised to split the Saints backfield. 
  • Chris Olave could see double-digit targets against the worst secondary in the league.
  • Juwan Johnson could see a spike in targets with Vele on the shelf. 
  • Breece Hall played the least snaps he has seen in over a month last week. He doesn’t look like he wants to be in New York. 
  • Brady Cook is going to get another start, even though it’s hard to believe he is the guy who gives the Jets the best chance to win. 
  • Adonai Mitchell is the Jets’ clear WR1, but he’ll be catching passes from a QB who belongs on a practice squad.

JM’S JOURNAL ::

Find JM’s Journal on Friday in The Scroll. If you are an Inner Circle member, you can read JM’s Journal on Thursday in Discord.

How new york Will Try To Win ::

The 3-11 Jets come into Week 16 off a fun 48-20 loss to the Jaguars. The Jets were never in the game, but despite Cook having a relatively poor performance (176 yards, 1 TD, 3 INTS), he did enough to be named the starter for a second consecutive game. This news came early in the week, despite the realistic chance that both Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor will be healthy enough to play. Even if either of them can suit up, they have already been designated as backups. That’s curious, since the NFL is obsessed with playing “whoever gives us the best chance to win.” It seems obvious that Taylor or Fields would be the guy who “gives them the best chance to win,” since both have won a lot of games at the NFL level. Cook has thrown five interceptions in six quarters of action, while getting blown out twice. The Jets also decided to move on from defensive coordinator Steve Wilks after only a 14-game tenure. Aaron Glenn cited a “lack of improvement” week to week as his reason for making the decision. Glenn is a defensive coach, but he has decided to continue focusing on hugging, rather than calling plays, a duty that will be given to defensive backs coach Chris Harris. 

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The Jets have been playing fast (No. 7 in seconds per play), but that’s because they’re always losing. They’d like to hide their QB and shorten games, but how they Jets want to play is irrelevant since they fall behind quickly every week. The Jets desperately want to run (32nd in PROE), but much like their pace numbers, how they want to play doesn’t matter (12th in pass rate), because they’re always chasing points. The Jets O-line hasn’t helped them run effectively (23rd ranked by PFF), but they have been improving in pass protection, allowing only six pressures against the Jaguars, good for the fourth-best pass blocking efficiency last week. The Saints have been above average (12th in DVOA) against the run, and vulnerable (21st in DVOA) against the pass. It makes sense to throw against the Saints, but the Jets are still going to try and run. Expect the Jets to come out with their typical run-first game plan, before eventually going pass heavy as they chase points. 

HOW NEW ORLEANS WILL TRY TO WIN ::

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