Game Overview ::
By papy324 >>
- The Jaguars are remarkably healthy. No one missed practice on Thursday.
- The Jets have some injuries. QB Justin Fields missed on Thursday with a knee, QB Tyrod Taylor missed with a groin, TE Mason Taylor missed with a neck, and LB Francisco Mauigoa missed with a neck.
- The Jets look poised to start undrafted rookie QB Brady Cook .
- Breece Hall is going to get the ball, but it’ll be in a terrible matchup and bad game script.
- The Jets pass catchers are cheap, and should see volume, but they’ll be catching passes from a subpar QB.
- Trevor Lawrence has been turned into a game manager.
- Travis Etienne played a lot last week after Bhayshul Tuten fumbled, but it would make sense for the Jags to take it easy on Etienne in a matchup that they should control.
- There isn’t going to much passing game volume to go around for the Jags pass catchers
- The best DFS play from this game is the Jags defense.
JM’S JOURNAL ::
Find JM’s Journal on Friday in The Scroll. If you are an Inner Circle member, you can read JM’s Journal on Thursday in Discord.
How new york Will Try To Win ::
The 3-10 Jets can’t even tank right. They’ve picked up two wins after their MLB-style fire sale at the trade deadline and are no longer the frontrunners for the first overall pick in April’s draft. A big part of their “success” was the move to Tyrod Taylor, who, despite being past his prime is still an NFL caliber QB. This week, they are going to tank properly because of injury. Taylor and Fields both haven’t practiced, and it looks like Cook is going to get the start. Who is Cook? Good question. After consulting the internet, it appears he is an undrafted rookie QB who played for Missouri. He was a practice-squad player for most of the year, before being called up when Fields went down with a knee injury. He saw his first NFL action last week and completed under 50% of his passes, scoring 4.5 DK points on 30 dropbacks. There isn’t much of a sample size, but all the evidence points to the fact that Cook is going to get cooked. The Jets should be able to able to lose with style to finish the season.
Crash the leaderboards
PFP the OWS pennant
The Jets have been playing fast (No. 6 in seconds per play), but that’s mostly because they’re always losing. They did speed up with Taylor under center, but it’s not worth drawing any conclusions about how they’ll play with Cook on such a small sample. It’s likely the Jets will slow down while the game is close, but it’s also likely the game won’t stay close very long. The Jets O-line (25th ranked by PFF) has been a major disappointment. They were projected to be a top-10 unit coming in the season, but they’ve been poor, especially up in the middle where center Josh Myers is ranked as the 37th player out of 38 qualified centers. The Jets want to run (32nd in PROE) but are forced to pass (14th in pass rate), because they don’t stay close enough on the scoreboard. It’s difficult to predict that the Jets are going to do anything other than try to win on the ground, but there are a lot of variables with a new QB. The Jags have been tough against the run (No. 6 in DVOA), and above average (10th in DVOA) against the pass. The Jags have faced one of the highest PROEs against, with the league treating them like a pass funnel. Even so, expect the Jets to try and run before ultimately passing in the second half once they’re down multiple scores.
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