Dummy Grid 3.23
JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate
OWS Fam ::
This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate
This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing
The Grid ::
Bottom-Up Build
:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)
Blue Chips
:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure
Build-Arounds
:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters
Building Blocks
:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
Bonuses
:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective
Bottom-Up Build
Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (on the One Week Season podcast feed).
Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.1k
Patrick Mahomes
Jerick McKinnon
Craig Reynolds
Tank Dell
Josh Downs
K.J. Osborn
Travis Kelce
Mike Williams
Commanders
Join The Bottom-Up Build Contest On DraftKings!
Buy-In:
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Rules:
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!
Prizes:
150 Edge Points ($150 worth of FREE DFS Education courses!) + ‘Discord Blue’ color in Discord!
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*must use an OWS avatar (found on your profile page) to be eligible to win
Blue Chips
Patrick Mahomes
I dive deep into this at the end of the Angles Pod, but if there is one quarterback on this slate likeliest to separate from Herbert/Cousins in terms of raw points, it’s Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes doesn’t typically get held back by blowout wins. If KC scores 4+ touchdowns, there’s a pretty good chance Mahomes is part of all of them. He comes with one of the highest floor/ceiling combos of any player on the slate.
Chargers // Vikings
See build-arounds
“Light Blue” Chips
Build-Arounds
Building Blocks
Slate-Breakers
Justin Jefferson + Tony Pollard
Story:
“Justin Jefferson and Tony Pollard are the two guys who post ‘separator’ scores this week.”
Why It Works:
Jefferson will be very popular. Pollard will be very popular. But most people won’t be looking to fit the two of them onto a roster together. If these are the only two guys on the slate who score 35+ DraftKings points (especially if all the other popular plays top out under 30), this becomes a powerful setup.
How It Works:
If things work out in the way laid out above, your Jefferson points will separate you from all the other Pollard rosters, and your Pollard points will separate you from all the other Jefferson rosters. This alone could be enough differentiation to allow you to “play your favorite, high-upside plays” across the rest of your roster.
POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
“If Kelce Hits”
Bink Machine
A look at some of the rules I’ll be applying in the Bink Machine this week.
“If Kelce Hits”
This setup is explored in the Building Blocks, above. This week, my rule of pairing Kelce with Mahomes will apply to “at least 80%” of my Kelce rosters. This creates some wiggle room for Kelce to be played without Mahomes, but most of my Kelce exposure will be tied to Mahomes. (Kelce anchor. “2/2” in min/max means “play both these guys.” 80% tells the Bink Machine how many rosters to force this rule on.)
Slate-Breakers
This setup is explored in the Building Blocks, above. I don’t want to force Pollard/Jefferson together across the board, but I do want at least 25% of my Pollard exposure to include Justin Jefferson. I accomplish this by adding a Pollard anchor and telling the Bink Machine to apply this rule at least 25% of the time Pollard shows up on a roster.
“If Jefferson Hits”
If Jefferson hits, at his price tag, the concentrated Chargers offense is probably producing a big game for Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, or Josh Kelley as well. As such, I want to make sure that at least 70% of my Jefferson rosters include at least one of these three Chargers (with flexibility to have as many as two). I accomplish this with a Jefferson anchor and a pool that includes the three Chargers. “2/3” in min/max means I want at least two players from this pool, and as many as three. 70%, of course, means this rule will be forced on at least 70% of my Jefferson builds. (Note :: Jefferson is a critical decision point on the slate. But on rosters where you’re playing him, things shouldn’t stop there; you should be consciously thinking about how you get the most out of that play, as seen in some of these rules.)
“No Double-Chargers Floating”
I’m not totally sure if I’ll apply this rule or not, but you’ll notice that the rule above technically leaves room for something like “C.J. Stroud // Justin Jefferson // Mike Williams // Keenan Allen.” If you don’t want rosters with “two Chargers and no Chargers QB,” you can do so in the “Team Stacks” tab, changing the “max flex” option on the Chargers to 1. (The tutorial at the top of the Bink Machine page, of course, walks through each of these pages comprehensively and simply, allowing you to quickly understand what you’re doing across the board.) The rule above, then, would allow for something like “Herbert + Keenan + Mike + Jefferson,” but would prevent this happening when Herbert is off the roster. With Herbert, you can have Jefferson + 2 Chargers pieces. Without Herbert, you would have Jefferson + 1.
Bonuses
If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max
This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.
If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:
QB ::
Mahomes || Herbert || Cousins || Allen || Stroud
RB ::
A Wrap ::
I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!
-JM
