Dummy Grid 10.23

JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate


OWS Fam ::

This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate

This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing


The Grid ::

Bottom-Up Build

:: covered in-depth in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)

Blue Chips

:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure

Build-Arounds

:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters

Building Blocks

:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters

Bonuses

:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective


Bottom-Up Build

Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (on the One Week Season podcast feed).

Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.4K

Sam Howell
Bijan Robinson
Rachaad White
Terry McLaurin
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Michael Wilson
Logan Thomas
Rashid Shaheed
Cowboys

Join The Bottom-Up Build Contest On DraftKings!

Buy-In:

Free

Rules:

Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!

Prizes:

1st Place = 250 Edge Points + Rare Blue Name Tag in Discord
2nd Place = 100 Edge Points
3rd Place = 75 Edge Points
4th Place = 50 Edge Points
5th Place = 25 Edge Points

*1 Edge Point = $1 in DFS courses on OWS

<< Join Here >>

*must use an OWS avatar (found on your profile page) to be eligible to win


Week 10 Player Grid Note

OWS Fam ::

A unique Grid this week.

If you don’t typically listen to the Angles Pod, I would recommend doing that (you can find it on the OWS YouTube channel or on the One Week Season podcast feed), as the discussions in the Angles Pod supplement the Player Grid nicely. To summarize, however:

There are no one-off plays this week that stand out to me as “Blue Chips” or even “Light Blue Chips,” but there are several teams/games that have potential to outperform the rest of the slate.

I’m always somewhat focused on game environments in my builds, but because of the unique setup/structure of this week, I’ll be even more game-focused than normal in my approach, with three to five spots on every roster of mine likely to be built around “the game scenario I’m building for on that roster.”

The basic structure of my rosters this week, then (eight spots on a roster before DST) will look something like this:

  1. 3 to 5 spots taken up with game-focused blocks
  2. Remaining RB/TE spots taken up with guys from my RB/TE pools
  3. Remaining WR spots taken up with either A) secondary stacks, or B) players from my two wide receiver lists: “Role-Certain Fillers” and “Low-Floor Ceiling Shots”

The Player Grid this week is structured accordingly, with game-focused Build Arounds at the top (followed by some fun angles I’ll be playing in the Bink Machine and some specific Building Blocks to consider), followed by my RB, WR, and TE lists.

Let’s get to it!

Build-Arounds

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Building Blocks

Purdy, Purdy Good
Purdy + CMC + Aiyuk
Story:

“The 49ers do it again.”

Why It Works:

In five of eight weeks this year, Purdy-led stacks would have kept you on a 188- to 228-point pace. All three of the weeks in which CMC cracked 26 points, Purdy and a pass catcher also hit. Most people play CMC as a one-off. I’ll play CMC alongside Purdy and a San Francisco pass catcher.

How It Works:

If this stack hits (or if you’re on a variation of this stack that hits), you’ll have a significant head start on the field, with a large number of raw points that most people won’t be getting. Depending on tourney size, you may not have to worry about strategy/ownership at all beyond this stack.

POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:

The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.

Not The Way The Field Drew It Up

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Bink Machine

A look at some of the rules I’ll be applying in the Bink Machine this week.

NOTE:

The Bink Machine is now only $79 for the rest of the season(!).

CMC + Purdy || Purdy + Pass

CMC has cracked 26 points in three games this year, and in all three of those, stacking him with Purdy and a pass catcher would have been the most +EV way to play things. Going back to last year, CMC has cracked 26 points in seven of 14 games played with Purdy, and stacking him with Purdy and a pass catcher would have been the most +EV way to play things five times. This pair of rules creates a setup of “100% of CMC rosters have Purdy and a pass catcher.” (Rule 1: If playing CMC, include Purdy. Rule 2: If playing Purdy, include one of these three pass catchers.)

ARSB + Goff

Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored 30+ DK points four times since the start of last year. In three of those games, Goff hit as well (and he was solid in the other). Given the nature of this week (where a 24-point score from a high-priced guy could still be valuable for the raw score provided — i.e., “Maybe none of the high-priced guys go for 35+”), I don’t necessarily want to box myself out of playing ARSB away from Goff, but I do want to account for the fact that if ARSB truly hits, I’m probably getting Goff correct as well. This rule says that on at least 60% of ARSB rosters, Goff should be played.

Lamb + Dak

CeeDee Lamb has scored 28+ DK points four times since the start of last year, and Dak has scored 31+ in three of those. This rule accounts for the fact that “if Lamb is hitting, Dak is probably hitting as well.”

Bonuses

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Don’t play DFS without it!

Use code OWS90

If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max

This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.

If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:

QB ::

Purdy || Goff || Howell || “Potentially some exposure to the QBs opposite these guys” || “QBs from Bonus Stacks”

RB ::

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A Wrap ::

I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!

-JM