Kickoff Sunday, Jan 24th 3:05pm Eastern
Bucs ( 23.75) at
Packers ( 27.25)
Key Matchups
Buccaneers Run D
13th DVOA/19th Yards allowed per carryPackers Run O
3rd DVOA/11th Yards per carryBuccaneers Pass D
15th DVOA/7th Yards allowed per passPackers Pass O
15th DVOA/21st Yards per passPackers Run D
32nd DVOA/29th Yards allowed per carryBuccaneers Run O
30th DVOA/32nd Yards per carryPackers Pass D
8th DVOA/23rd Yards allowed per passBuccaneers Pass O
11th DVOA/28th Yards per passCONFERENCE OVERVIEW::
Four of the top five pass offenses in DVOA play each other in Conference Championship weekend, what more could we possibly ask for from a fan’s perspective? As such, both games are currently instilled with game totals north of 51 points. We have three of four backfields that are expected to be some level of timeshares (with one of those three in particular yet to be decided from my perspective – no spoilers!), with only Devin Singletary expected to garner a lion’s share of the running back opportunities on his team. And better yet, pricing is tight . . .
Kickoff Sunday, Jan 24th 6:40pm Eastern
Bills ( 25.5) at
Chiefs ( 28.5)
Key Matchups
Bills Run D
3rd DVOA/14th Yards allowed per carryChiefs Run O
17th DVOA/7th Yards per carryBills Pass D
9th DVOA/6th Yards allowed per passChiefs Pass O
1st DVOA/2nd Yards per passChiefs Run D
17th DVOA/14th Yards allowed per carryBills Run O
11th DVOA/2nd Yards per carryChiefs Pass D
22nd DVOA/5th Yards allowed per passBills Pass O
2nd DVOA/4th Yards per passBILLS/CHIEFS OVERVIEW::
Some solid leverage developing through the unknowns surrounding Patrick Mahomes and Clyde Edwards-HelaireThis game currently only carries a 3-point higher game total than the early game; I would put the Bills/Chiefs game at a 90%+ chance of finishing with a higher total than the Bucs/Packers game, which means the discrepancy is about three to three and a half points too lowLikeliest scenario is a pass-heavy game plan for each sideTwo offensive play-callers that should be trying to outdo each other
HOW BUFFALO WILL TRY TO WIN::
Wide receiver Gabriel Davis and . . .