Championship Matchups


Kickoff Sunday, Jan 24th 3:05pm Eastern

Bucs (
23.75) at

Packers (
27.25)

Over/Under 51.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Buccaneers Run D
1st DVOA/1st Yards allowed per carry
Packers Run O
5th DVOA/8th Yards per carry
Buccaneers Pass D
5th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per pass
Packers Pass O
2nd DVOA/9th Yards per pass
Packers Run D
19th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per carry
Buccaneers Run O
10th DVOA/28th Yards per carry
Packers Pass D
14th DVOA/7th Yards allowed per pass
Buccaneers Pass O
5th DVOA/2nd Yards per pass

CONFERENCE OVERVIEW::

Four of the top five pass offenses in DVOA play each other in Conference Championship weekend, what more could we possibly ask for from a fan’s perspective? As such, both games are currently instilled with game totals north of 51 points. We have three of four backfields that are expected to be some level of timeshares (with one of those three in particular yet to be decided from my perspective – no spoilers!), with only Devin Singletary expected to garner a lion’s share of the running back opportunities on his team. And better yet, pricing is tight . . .

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Kickoff Sunday, Jan 24th 6:40pm Eastern

Bills (
25.5) at

Chiefs (
28.5)

Over/Under 54.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Bills Run D
17th DVOA/17th Yards allowed per carry
Chiefs Run O
10th DVOA/16th Yards per carry
Bills Pass D
12th DVOA/13th Yards allowed per pass
Chiefs Pass O
1st DVOA/1st Yards per pass
Chiefs Run D
29th DVOA/21st Yards allowed per carry
Bills Run O
22nd DVOA/20th Yards per carry
Chiefs Pass D
12th DVOA/14th Yards allowed per pass
Bills Pass O
3rd DVOA/3rd Yards per pass

BILLS/CHIEFS OVERVIEW::

Some solid leverage developing through the unknowns surrounding Patrick Mahomes and Clyde Edwards-HelaireThis game currently only carries a 3-point higher game total than the early game; I would put the Bills/Chiefs game at a 90%+ chance of finishing with a higher total than the Bucs/Packers game, which means the discrepancy is about three to three and a half points too lowLikeliest scenario is a pass-heavy game plan for each sideTwo offensive play-callers that should be trying to outdo each other

HOW BUFFALO WILL TRY TO WIN::

Wide receiver Gabriel Davis and . . .

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