Championship Matchups


Kickoff Sunday, Jan 24th 3:05pm Eastern

Bucs (
23.75) at

Packers (
27.25)

Over/Under 51.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Buccaneers Run D
11th DVOA/5th Yards allowed per carry
Packers Run O
17th DVOA/10th Yards per carry
Buccaneers Pass D
15th DVOA/24th Yards allowed per pass
Packers Pass O
5th DVOA/10th Yards per pass
Packers Run D
26th DVOA/26th Yards allowed per carry
Buccaneers Run O
29th DVOA/32nd Yards per carry
Packers Pass D
27th DVOA/18th Yards allowed per pass
Buccaneers Pass O
15th DVOA/6th Yards per pass

CONFERENCE OVERVIEW::

Four of the top five pass offenses in DVOA play each other in Conference Championship weekend, what more could we possibly ask for from a fan’s perspective? As such, both games are currently instilled with game totals north of 51 points. We have three of four backfields that are expected to be some level of timeshares (with one of those three in particular yet to be decided from my perspective – no spoilers!), with only Devin Singletary expected to garner a lion’s share of the running back opportunities on his team. And better yet, pricing is tight . . .

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Kickoff Sunday, Jan 24th 6:40pm Eastern

Bills (
25.5) at

Chiefs (
28.5)

Over/Under 54.0

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Notes

Key Matchups
Bills Run D
18th DVOA/28th Yards allowed per carry
Chiefs Run O
11th DVOA/11th Yards per carry
Bills Pass D
9th DVOA/5th Yards allowed per pass
Chiefs Pass O
6th DVOA/19th Yards per pass
Chiefs Run D
27th DVOA/24th Yards allowed per carry
Bills Run O
5th DVOA/9th Yards per carry
Chiefs Pass D
5th DVOA/2nd Yards allowed per pass
Bills Pass O
3rd DVOA/7th Yards per pass

BILLS/CHIEFS OVERVIEW::

Some solid leverage developing through the unknowns surrounding Patrick Mahomes and Clyde Edwards-HelaireThis game currently only carries a 3-point higher game total than the early game; I would put the Bills/Chiefs game at a 90%+ chance of finishing with a higher total than the Bucs/Packers game, which means the discrepancy is about three to three and a half points too lowLikeliest scenario is a pass-heavy game plan for each sideTwo offensive play-callers that should be trying to outdo each other

HOW BUFFALO WILL TRY TO WIN::

Wide receiver Gabriel Davis and . . .

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