JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate
I’m going to focus on the Sunday Main Slate on Monday night and Tuesday night, while using Wednesday night to chip in some thoughts on the Thanksgiving slate. Late Thursday night, I’ll be shaping the Player Grid and probably dropping in a few additional notes, and I imagine I’ll have another wave of thoughts for the Main Slate on Friday night.
That said…
Well…
If this were opposite week, this Sunday would be giving us a banger of a slate.
Going game by game in the app at the quarterback position with some high-level thoughts ::
Rams at Panthers :: Not a good spot for the Panthers’ offense (of course), and this means it’s not a spot where we expect the already “overpriced for their typical production” Rams to suddenly spike for games we had to have in order to win the week.
49ers at Browns :: “Any team at the Browns” is usually a stay-away spot, and the Cleveland offense is usually a stay-away spot.
Texans at Colts :: “Any offense playing the Texans” is usually a stay-away spot, and the Houston offense is usually a stay-away spot.
Saints at Dolphins :: This is not the same Dolphins offense, and Mike McDaniel knows it. Tua has 205 or fewer yards in five of his last six games, the Dolphins have leaned into their rushing attack, and against a Saints offense that is unlikely to light up the scoreboard against a defense that has been playing much better of late, I can’t imagine McDaniel will spring an ambush on the Saints with an aggressive offensive game plan.
Falcons at Jets :: Kirk Cousins under center for the Falcons against a Jets defense that continues to play hard and play well; Tyrod Taylor under center for the Jets, with no elite weapons in the pass game, against a typically-strong Falcons defense.
Cardinals at Buccaneers :: Maybe this wouldn’t be “the game that stands out” on a typical slate; but it might be “the game that stands out” on this one.
Jaguars at Titans :: Maybe this wouldn’t be “the game that stands out” on a typical slate; but it might be “the game that stands out” on this one.
Vikings at Seahawks :: A tougher-than-average defense for the Seattle offense to contend with, in a game where their defense should be able to control things against J.J. McCarthy or Max Brosmer.
Raiders at Chargers :: A game the Chargers should control — but how much passing volume will we see, in what’s already a spread-the-ball attack?
Bills at Steelers :: Not a spot where we would typically expect Superman Josh to be called upon, against a Steelers offense that doesn’t put up points.
And guess what?
Yup.
That’s the entire slate.
I’m still listening to some recaps from last weekend. I still have lots of games to watch. And I haven’t done any practice builds.
I’m absolutely certain we’ll find some interesting components and angles as we move into this week — but from a high-level look, it’s ugly out here.
On a side note :: I’m thankful for the OWS community.
Some of you are new here.
Some of you have been hanging out with me on OWS for eight years (and have been hanging out with me for even longer altogether).
Regardless, I don’t take it for granted that I get to study the NFL and dive into DFS for a “job” at this time of year — and while we all obviously have things going on in life that are much bigger and more real than this, I strive to always give everything I can to this so that you’re getting the best I can give.
We haven’t been flawless this year — but we’ve been pretty damn good.
Let’s keep it rolling!
