Dummy Grid 9.25
JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate
OWS Fam ::
This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate
This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing
The Grid ::
Bottom-Up Build
:: covered in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)
Blue Chips
:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure
Build-Arounds
:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters
Building Blocks
:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
Bonuses
:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective
Beta
:: players who are not going to be “featured” on my tighter builds (i.e., one could show up on a tighter build, but they are not being prioritized as such), but who I will be mixing and matching across some portion of my MME builds
Bottom-Up Build
Full breakdown (of what this is, and what the thinking is behind these players) can (and should) be found in the Angles Pod (on YouTube, or on the One Week Season podcast feed).
Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.2K
Mac Jones
Kareem Hunt
Christian McCaffrey
Jauan Jennings
Jalen Coker
DK Metcalf
Tyler Warren
Theo Johnson
Texans
Join The Bottom-Up Build Contest On DraftKings!
Buy-In:
Free
Rules:
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!
Prizes:
1st Place = $100 paid out to the winner(!) (OR free Bink Machine access!)
<< Join Here >>
*must use an OWS avatar (found on your profile page) to be eligible to win
Blue Chips
Kyle Monangai
I posted this in the Journal earlier this week when it looked like D’Andre Swift might play, but if we take out the Browns in Week 1, here’s what backfields have done vs the Bengals this year (DK scoring) ::
32.3 — Jags
34.5 — Vikings
36.4 — Broncos
34.9 — Lions
33.8 — Packers
26.3 — Steelers
53.8 — Jets
D’Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson are both out, and the Bears have been leaning into the run game since coming out of the bye. This is a “don’t overthink it” spot for me. On paper, Monangai is a much better play than both TreVeyon Henderson and Kareem Hunt, and I don’t know that the field will go as all-in on this play as they should. I won’t be surprised if I have this play on 100% of my single-entry/3-max rosters this week.
“Light Blue” Chips
Build-Arounds
Building Blocks
“189.8”
Joe Flacco + Ja’Marr Chase
Story:
“We get the same thing, again.”
Why It Works:
These two cost $14k in salary, and have kept you on a 189.8-point pace through their first three games together(!), scoring 43.9 (Green Bay), 70.1 (Pittsburgh), and 45.4 (Jets). To put that in perspective, Patrick Mahomes and Rashee Rice cost $14.7k in salary, and have combined for scores of 50.5 and 49.4 so far; and I think it’s comfortable to say there are more paths to Mahomes performing without Rice than there are to Flacco performing without Chase (or Chase performing without Flacco). I really like Mahomes + Rice as well, and that could easily have been a featured block here; but Flacco + Chase has basically been the QB/WR equivalent of Christian McCaffrey so far :: a way to spend a large chunk of salary and have a high, bankable floor of points with opportunities for a true ceiling outcome.
How It Works:
Flacco + Chase with a Monangai bring-back won’t be meaningfully different on this slate, so you’ll obviously still have to carve out something different on your roster(s) from here; but this is a nice starting point that provides you with early, high-confidence points before moving deeper into your build(s).
POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
“HF;CR?”
Bink Machine
A look at some of the rules I’ll be applying in the Bink Machine this week.
Monangai Locked
I have over 1900 rosters already queued up in the Bink Machine, so there’s a chance I’ll find one or two rosters, when shopping through things this weekend, that were built before the D’Andre Swift news, and that pop as really strong options for me to consider this week. But for every set of rosters I run moving forward, I plan to lock Monangai. With that “lock” icon clicked, he’ll show up in 100% of rosters I build through the weekend. He’ll be popular, of course, so it’s not like this provides meaningful edge; but I do consider him to be a guy worth playing 100% of the time, and there will probably be about 50% of rosters in tourneys that don’t have him. I’ll take that where I can get it.
$3.50/Week:
Just a reminder :: the Bink Machine is an outrageously useful tool for single-entry/3-Max. We intentionally keep the price tag on the Bink Machine cheap (as far as I know, it’s cheaper than any other optimizer out there) in order for our SE/3-Max users to feel like they can justify the cost. If you typically play playoff DFS, you’re basically paying $3.50 per Main Slate with a $49 Bink Machine pass. If you use it for a week and don’t find it to be useful, reach out to support and we’ll refund your money. Get in there to try it out if you can.
NOTE :: This $49 price tag is available for one week only!
Bonuses
If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max
This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.
If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:
QB ::
Joe Flacco || Caleb Williams || Daniel Jones (potentially with trail bets on Aaron Rodgers) || Patrick Mahomes (likely with trail bets on Josh Allen) || >>—<< || Mac Jones // Jaxson Dart
RB ::
A Wrap ::
I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!
-JM
