Dummy Grid 13.25
JMToWin is a high-stakes tournament champion (Thunderdome, Luxury Box, Game Changer, Wildcat, King of the Hill/Beach, Spy, etc.) who focuses on the DraftKings Main Slate
OWS Fam ::
This is not a complete list of all the good plays on the slate
This is, instead, a look at the player pool I’ll be fishing
The Grid ::
Bottom-Up Build
:: covered in the Angles Pod (it’s highly recommended that you listen to the breakdown of the roster in order to see the thinking behind it, and in order to understand what we’re talking about when we look at a “bottom-up build”)
Blue Chips
:: my “Tier 1” plays: the plays I feel confident leaning into across different types of builds; these players have a high ceiling and a low likelihood of price-considered failure
Build-Arounds
:: games, offenses, situations, or scenarios I’ll be looking to build around across my rosters
Building Blocks
:: unique player pairings that can be used as foundational building blocks for tournament rosters
Bonuses
:: players who don’t fit into the categories above — either Upside pieces who don’t have the floor to be Blue Chips (and are not being focused on within my game-focused builds) or players who may not have a strong shot at ceiling, but are worth keeping in mind from a “role” perspective
Beta
:: players who are not going to be “featured” on my tighter builds (i.e., one could show up on a tighter build, but they are not being prioritized as such), but who I will be mixing and matching across some portion of my MME builds
Bottom-Up Build
Bottom-Up Build
DK Salary Remaining :: $6.0K
Tyrod Taylor
Ashton Jeanty
Breece Hall
John Metchie
Adonai Mitchell
Chimere Dike
Gunnar Helm
Puka Nacua
Seahawks
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Buy-In:
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Rules:
Build with a salary cap of $44k or below!
Prizes:
1st Place = $100 paid out to the winner(!) (OR free Bink Machine access!)
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Blue Chips
NONE
There are no plays this week that I consider Blue Chips.
“Light Blue” Chips
Build-Arounds
Building Blocks
“Release the Kraken”
Cam Ward + Chimere Dike + Gunnar Helm + Travis Etienne
Story:
“Cam takes another step forward”
Why It Works:
This would typically be a Beta stack for me (something I would only be considering in large-field play), but this week is thin, and Mike McCoy has been moving more and more into the realm of “letting Cam develop by letting Cam cook.” Since coming out of the bye two weeks ago, Ward has thrown 42 and 37 passes, and has rushed for 37 and 33 yards. The Jags face the highest opponent pass play rate in the NFL, and after games against Seattle and Houston, this is a much softer landing spot for the Titans’ rookie quarterback.
Elic Ayomanor is questionable, which could take some of the shine off the (already somewhat thin) certainty around this stack, but Dike has become a featured player in this passing attack, and between his explosive “ball in hands” ability and his role in the return game, he has scored 16+ DK points in three of his last five games.
And then, of course, we have the Titans’ tight ends against a Jags defense that trails only the Bengals in DK points allowed to the position. Unfortunately, Chig Okonkwo and Gunnar Helm continue to split work, but with Chig (foot) hobbled/questionable, Helm continues to look impressive. He has five or more targets in three of his last five games, and at $2.6k, he has 6.9+ DK points in four of these five.
Finally, we have Etienne, who has recent touch counts of 18 // 19 // 18 // 27, and is taking on a Titans defense that has allowed the sixth most DK points per game. We know that the Jags have committed to the run of late, and there’s no reason for them to shift away from that here.
Etienne is the only guy from this block I’m considering playing as a one-off (though I have had some rosters on which playing Helm allowed me to unlock some things, so while he’s Tier 2 for me as a one-off, I could end up taking a swing here), and this stack probably slots in below Tyrod and Brissett // Stafford for me; but given what this stack can unlock, I’ll still be keeping it in mind for my tighter builds this week.
How It Works:
The beauty of this stack is that it allows you to “lean into points” (the idea we explored in the Rams writeup, above), while still giving you genuine point-per-dollar ceiling. If things break the wrong way here, this still has “wreck your roster” potential; but if things break the right way here, this stack could genuinely be the reason you’re winning the slate.
POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE:
The story plays out differently, and you don’t get first place — which is really all that matters.
“J-E-T-S”
Bink Machine
A look at some of the rules I’ll be applying in the Bink Machine this week.
Pay-up(Up)((Up?))
I’ve mentioned this many times this year, but as I’ve shifted back over to SE/3-Max in my play, I’ve been leveraging the Bink Machine this year to shop for ideas and to see what’s possible with various roster constructions. Said differently: rules I’m running this year are not “Rules for all my rosters,” but are instead rules I’ll run for a set of rosters to see what’s possible on a slate.
This rule instructs the Bink Machine to include two or three players from this pool (CMC // Achane // JSN // Puka) on 100% of rosters, allowing you to run a roster set with multiple pay-up pieces and collect ideas for how this might work this week.
$1.90/Week
Through the end of Week 13, you can scoop Bink Machine access for $1.90/week(!) for the remainder of the season(!). ($19 for the remaining 10 weeks of NFL DFS action.)
Full Refund!
If you try the Bink Machine and feel it’s not a useful tool for your hand-build process, shoot us an email and we’ll refund your money.
Bonuses
If Building For Single-Entry // Three-Entry Max
This is my narrowest pool, which means it’s the pool likeliest to change a bit as I move deeper into builds. If it changes throughout Saturday night, I’ll add an update in this space.
If I were building for single-entry // three-entry Max, my tightened-up player pool would be:
QB ::
Matthew Stafford || Jacoby Brissett || Cam Ward || Tyrod Taylor
RB ::
A Wrap ::
I’ll see you at the top of the leaderboards this weekend!
-JM
