Willing To Lose 6.25

Larejo is a mid-stakes tournament mastermind who specializes in outmaneuvering 150-max players with a small number of entries

Last week is not this week.

Last week is not this …

Last week is not …

Last week is …

Last week…

But man, does it look similar. Reflecting on results in Week 5, and seeing how essentially all of the chalk plays smashed with the rare exception of the late Tampa Bay // Seattle matchup shooting out, makes this week feel expected. Our confidence is high, whether we won or lost, because you can look back at the lineups that took down major tournaments and see how you could have gotten there yourself – a 1v1 here, a 2v2 there, and that could have been you!

The simple inclination this week is going to be overconfidence. Because when we look at how this Week 6 main slate stacks up, the similarities to Week 5’s main slate are crazy!

• Cowboys are playing in the expected game of the week, on the road at an East Coast location. Playing a defense in Carolina that shows little resistance (sounds like the Jets?).
• Cincinnati as huge underdogs going against an NFC North opponent expected to stomp them despite having a new quarterback.
• Indianapolis is hosting an underachieving team, favored by about a touchdown (Cardinals, like the Raiders last week).
• Tennessee is playing an underachieving team they could feasibly beat (Raiders this week, Cardinals last week).
• Tampa Bay is playing an NFC West opponent (San Francisco this week, Seattle in Week 5) that has a good defense and can score points with them.
• Seattle is getting a feisty matchup against a team with Liam Coen’s fingerprints on it (Jacksonville literally coached by him this week, Tampa influenced by his stint there last week).

It’s tough to ignore. Although based on the discourse I’ve seen this week, it doesn’t seem like this is a popular observation from people who have real followings, unlike me. However, I always look for little tidbits each week that can guide and shape how I will think through this week, and for me, Week 6, differing from Week 5, is going to be my jam in this one.

So, what jumps off the page as unique, but different to me?

Packers Stack with Jordan Love + Two Pass Catchers