Betting based on advanced Simulation Models.
Thanks for following along with the simulator experiment, where I take bets on any game that is more than 3.5 points off from Vegas odds, compared to what the model says the lines should be.
Source of my betting simulations -> https://paydirtdfs.com/?aff=Jonnydanger
YTD vs Spread 15-16-0 $200 starting budget
Current bankroll $165.71
Week 9 Bets (as of 8:00 a10/30 on DK)
CAR +13.5 @ -115 $20
BUF +1.5 @ -105 $20
DEN +1.5 @ -108 $20
parlay ^ @ +602 $9
Week 8 Bets
TB -4.5 @ -108 $20 win +18.52
CHI +6.5 @ -115 $20 loss
SF +1.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +601 $9
Week 7 Bets
GB -6.5 @ -115 $20 loss
CHI -4.5 @ -115 $20 win +17.39
ATL +2.5 @ -110 $20 loss
MIA +2.5 @ -110 $20 loss
IND ml @ +110 $20 win +18.18
NE -6.5 @ -112 $20 win +17.86
parlay ^ @ +4963 $3 loss
Week 6 Bets
NE -3.5 @ -105 $20 win + $19.05
LV – 4.5 @ -108 $20 win + $18.52
NYJ +7.5 @ -115 $20 win + $17.39
DET +2.5 @ -110 $20 loss
PHI -7 @ -120 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +2360 $4 loss
Week 5 Bets
MIA ML @ -120 $20 loss
MIN -4.5 @ -105 $20 loss
NYJ +2.5 @ -108 $20 loss
NYG +2.5 @ -118 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +1173 $6 loss
Week 4 Bets
NO +15.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
IND +3.5 @ -105 $20 loss
NYJ +2.5 @ -102 $20 loss
GB -7 @ -105 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +1353 $6 loss
Week 3 Bets
MIA +12.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.51
NYJ +7 @ -105 $20 win +$19.04
NE +1.5 @ -105 $20 loss
CHI +1.5 @ -118 $20 win +$16.94
parlay ^ @ +1256 $6 loss
Week 2 Bets
IND +1.5 @ -105 $20 win +$19.05
NE +2 @ -120 $20 win +$16.67
CAR +6.5 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
parlay ^ @ +589 $9 win +$53.04
Week 1 Bets
WSH -6 @ -108 $20 win +$18.52
NO +6.5 @ -110 $20 loss
parlay ^ @ +267 $6 loss
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